TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,176,691

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,958,194

394,660

Markets across

30,119

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Boston vs New York M
predict
kalshi

Who will win Boston vs New York M?

Volume:
$4,622,983

Boston

 - Kalshi

Boston - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 11:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Boston

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,282,390
N/A
N/A
$1,292,257
Settled
Yes
predict

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$24,746
$17,405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

New York M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,323,188
N/A
N/A
$1,294,571
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. The aggregated consensus across Predict and Kalshi shows 95.0% probability for the leading outcome. Resolution is based on official final statistics from the governing body or, if unavailable within 24 hours of game conclusion, credible reporting consensus. Watch for the game completion on July 10 to determine final resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both Boston win and New York win are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi version of this market until the platform corrects the resolution logic. Use the predict market as your authoritative source. The predict market clearly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes and includes proper edge-case handling.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Binary outcome structure: resolves to Boston Red Sox if Boston wins, resolves to New York Mets if New York wins. Postponements keep market open; cancellations or ties resolve 50-50. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus.
  • kalshi: Contradictory outcome structure: resolves to Yes if Boston wins AND resolves to Yes if New York wins. No edge-case specifications provided. This creates an impossible settlement scenario.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets, scheduled for July 10 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on real-money contracts where traders buy and sell shares tied to outcomes, creating prices through supply and demand rather than bookmaker margins. This mechanism often produces sharper, less-padded odds than traditional sportsbooks, especially as event dates near and information becomes more concrete. Sportsbooks build in juice and manage liability across multiple bet types; prediction markets reward directional accuracy alone. Many sharp bettors monitor both channels to identify mispricings, since prediction market consensus can diverge meaningfully from sportsbook lines during low-liquidity windows.

Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and regulatory frameworks that shape order flow and liquidity. Kalshi may see heavier retail participation or different leverage rules, while Predict might draw more institutional volume or operate under distinct contract specifications. Arbitrage opportunities between the two venues are often fleeting due to withdrawal friction and platform-specific trading costs. Monitoring both prices helps you identify temporary mispricings and understand which venue is leading price discovery on any given day.

Key catalysts include team roster updates, injury announcements, recent performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchup data. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and playoff implications can also shift trader positioning significantly. Major news—such as a star player's status change or unexpected coaching decisions—often triggers sharp volume spikes and rapid repricing across both platforms. Monitor sports media closely and watch for unusual volume patterns on this market, as informed traders often position ahead of public announcements.