TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between Boston and Los Angeles A is scheduled for July 3, 2026. Bettors predict the winner after the first 7 innings are completed, including the possibility of a tie at that point.
Resolution is based on the score at the end of the first 7 innings of the Boston vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT. If Boston leads after 7 innings, the Boston outcome resolves to Yes. If Los Angeles A leads after 7 innings, the Los Angeles A outcome resolves to Yes. If the score is tied after 7 innings, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes and all team outcomes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders seeking to profit from accurate forecasts. This market aggregates the views of many independent participants rather than a single operator, which can surface insights that traditional sportsbooks may misprice. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value that bookmakers have overlooked, though both should be evaluated on their own merits.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome, ranging from near zero to near one hundred. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, and the market price updates in real time. This decentralized pricing process means the odds you see are determined entirely by supply and demand among participants, not by a centralized operator.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the first seven innings of the game are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be determined by which team is ahead on the scoreboard at the end of the seventh inning. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell contracts as new developments unfold during the game. Resolution is automatic once the event concludes and the final score for the first seven innings is confirmed.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before the first seven innings conclude. Injury announcements or roster changes to either team may alter perceived matchup strength. Weather conditions at game time, bullpen availability, and recent performance trends can all influence expectations. Early game momentum—such as runs scored in the first few innings or key plays—will likely trigger rapid repricing as traders update their forecasts. Breaking news about player health or lineup adjustments closer to game time could also spark significant movement in this market.