TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines the winner of the first three innings in the Boston vs Los Angeles Angels game on July 4, 2026. If the score is tied after three innings, the tie outcome resolves Yes and team outcomes resolve No.
This event resolves based on the score at the end of the first 3 innings of the Boston vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT. If Boston has more runs after 3 innings, the Boston outcome resolves Yes. If Los Angeles A has more runs after 3 innings, the Los Angeles A outcome resolves Yes. If both teams have equal runs after 3 innings, the Tie outcome resolves Yes and all team outcomes resolve No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days.
Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed oddsmaker models. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate the collective belief of participants trading continuously. This market can offer sharper or earlier signals on first-three-innings outcomes, especially as game conditions and lineups become clearer. Comparing the two can reveal where public or professional opinion differs most.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability of that outcome, ranging from $0 to $1. As new trades execute, the price updates instantly, and you can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the first three innings of the game are complete and the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The result will be confirmed based on the final score or event that occurred during that window. Resolution typically follows within hours of game conclusion, after official scoring is finalized and reported by major sports data providers.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmation, weather conditions, and any late-breaking injury reports affecting either team. Early game momentum—runs scored, errors, or pitching changes in the first inning—will drive sharp repricing as traders react to live action. Market-moving events also include public betting trends, professional trader positioning, and any breaking news about player availability that alters the perceived balance of the matchup.