TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 12:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Boston Red Sox will defeat the Los Angeles Angels in their scheduled matchup. On Kalshi, the probability of a Boston victory stands at 97.0%, with Los Angeles winning at 3.0%. The market resolves according to the official result of the professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 9:30 PM EDT. Watch for the game's completion on July 5, 2026, which will determine the final resolution.
These markets concern the Boston vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 9:30 PM EDT. Each market resolves Yes if its respective team wins the game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the markets remain open and will close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled entirely or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard resolution procedures.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief about outcomes. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many independent traders without the profit margin that sportsbooks embed. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders agree on the likely result, offering insight into consensus strength.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing orders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and the depth of buy and sell interest at different levels. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the price adjusts in real time. This mechanism ensures that the market price continuously incorporates fresh signals and represents the current consensus among active participants.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the final result of the matchup, determined by official sources and widely recognized sports media. Until that point, traders can buy and sell positions based on their expectations. Once the event concludes and the outcome is established, the market settles and positions are paid out according to the result.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before this market resolves. Team roster changes, injuries to key players, recent performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups all influence expectations. Media coverage and expert analysis may sway opinion, while betting line movements at major sportsbooks can signal professional assessment shifts. Closer to the event date, weather conditions, travel circumstances, or last-minute lineup announcements could trigger significant repricing as new information becomes available.