TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Boston wins by over 3.5 points
- Kalshi
Boston wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 20, 2026
Time left: 04d:00h:18m
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This event tracks various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming basketball game between Boston and Detroit. Each outcome represents a different margin by which either team could win, allowing participants to bet on the exact competitiveness of the match.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Boston vs Detroit Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 20, 2026. If Detroit wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any "Detroit wins by over X points" market, that market resolves to Yes; if Boston wins by a margin exceeding the threshold in any "Boston wins by over X points" market, that market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on their own models and may incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s a good practice to compare both to inform your decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Red Sox-Tigers spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result. The spread itself is determined by the difference in prices between the two sides of the market.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Boston Red Sox versus Detroit Tigers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted whether the Red Sox will cover the spread or not. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when the market has officially settled.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Red Sox or the Tigers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in pitching matchups, weather forecasts affecting the game, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all cause the market to react. Unexpected lineup changes or reports about team morale could also contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their expectations based on the latest information available.