TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event covers the spread outcomes for a Major League Baseball game between the Boston Red Sox and Colorado Rockies scheduled for June 23, 2026. Bettors can wager on whether either team wins by specific run margins (1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs), with separate markets for each threshold and each team.
The Boston vs Colorado baseball game scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT will be evaluated across multiple run-differential thresholds. Colorado winning by more than 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs each constitute separate Yes resolutions, as do Boston winning by those same margins. Each threshold represents a distinct spread outcome, allowing bettors to speculate on the magnitude of victory for either team. The game result is determined by the final score at the conclusion of regulation play, with resolution based on which team wins and by how many runs the victory margin exceeds the specified threshold.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader conviction and capital allocation. Many traders monitor both venues to identify inefficiencies; prediction markets sometimes lead sportsbooks in pricing adjustments when new information emerges, though the relationship varies by event and timing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective probability that traders assign to that result, with bid-ask spreads tightening as volume increases. Real-time supply and demand determine whether prices move higher or lower, allowing you to enter or exit positions at market rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the Boston vs Colorado game concludes and the final spread outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning contract will be determined by the actual point differential between the two teams at the end of regulation play. All positions will be settled based on that verified result, and your profit or loss will reflect how accurately you predicted the spread.
Key catalysts for this market include injury announcements, lineup changes, weather conditions on game day, and recent team performance trends. Unexpected roster moves or coaching decisions can shift trader sentiment quickly. Public betting action, sharp money movement, and breaking news about player availability typically trigger repricing. Additionally, momentum from either team's recent games or changes in public perception can drive noticeable swings in the spread odds as the event date approaches.