TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the combined run production by Boston and Colorado during the first five innings of their June 23, 2026 matchup. Bettors predict whether the total runs scored will exceed various thresholds, with each outcome representing a different scoring level.
Resolution is determined by the combined run total scored by both teams through the completion of the fifth inning in the Boston vs Colorado game scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the combined total exceeds its specified threshold. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and resolves after the rescheduled game concludes within two days.
Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed oddsmaker models. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of many independent traders. This market may offer sharper or earlier signals if informed bettors spot inefficiencies in how the first five innings total is priced elsewhere. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees edge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers on the combined run total outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the marginal trader's willingness to buy or sell at any given moment, updating in real time as new orders arrive. This mechanism ensures transparent, liquid pricing and allows traders to enter or exit positions throughout the event window without relying on a fixed odds provider.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the first five innings of the Boston-Colorado game are complete and the final combined run total is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources such as official MLB records or major sports data providers. Traders holding positions on the correct side of the total at that moment receive their payout, while those on the wrong side lose their stake.
Key catalysts include starting pitcher announcements, recent offensive trends for both teams, weather forecasts that affect ball carry and scoring conditions, and any late-breaking roster changes or injuries. Trading volume and sentiment can also shift sharply if one team is favored heavily in pre-game analysis or if sharp money enters the market with a strong directional view. Live game action—early runs, pitching changes, or momentum swings—will drive prices as traders react to actual performance during the first five innings.