TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Boston Red Sox will defeat the Colorado Rockies in their scheduled matchup. On Kalshi, Boston is priced at 90.0% to win, while Colorado sits at 10.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the professional baseball game scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 3:10 PM EDT. Watch for any roster changes, injuries, or weather updates affecting either team leading up to the game start time on June 24.
This event concerns a professional baseball game between Boston and Colorado originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 3:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and resolve after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, markets resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Each market resolves to Yes if its corresponding team wins the game.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and financial incentive to forecast accurately. This market aggregates the views of many independent traders without a house edge, which can result in sharper or more reactive pricing than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing the two reveals whether professional bettors and casual traders see the matchup differently.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares tied to each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome contract reflects the highest buy order and lowest sell order at any moment, creating a continuous price discovery process. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the spread tightens or widens, and prices move to reflect updated consensus. This transparent, real-time pricing allows participants to enter or exit positions at market rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that point, the winning outcome is locked in and traders' positions are settled based on the final result. Until resolution, prices may continue to shift as new developments, injury reports, or other relevant information surfaces. The exact timing of settlement depends on when the event concludes and the outcome is officially documented.
Key catalysts for this market include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and coaching decisions can also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting action on traditional sportsbooks may prompt repricing as new perspectives enter the market. Any significant development affecting either team's readiness or perceived strength could trigger sharp price movements, so monitoring team news and sports commentary is essential for active traders.