TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 11:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total runs scored by the Texas Rangers in their game against the Boston Red Sox. Currently, the consensus probability that the Texas Rangers will score over 1.5 runs is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, and will resolve based on data from https://www.mlb.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 17th, as the outcome of this market will depend on the final score.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Texas Rangers, scheduled for September 17 at 8:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
The market resolves based on the result of the professional baseball game between Boston and Texas scheduled for September 17, 2026. If Boston wins the game, the Boston market resolves to Yes and the Texas market resolves to No. Conversely, if Texas wins the game, the Texas market resolves to Yes and the Boston market resolves to No. If the game is postponed or delayed but played within two days of the original date, both markets remain open and resolve after the rescheduled game concludes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, both markets resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Texas Rangers, scheduled for September 17 at 8:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of information than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on individuals betting their own capital based on their own research and beliefs. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate forecasters of event outcomes. The spread between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can vary significantly, though both attempt to quantify the likelihood of a particular result. It’s useful to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict often stem from variations in user base, trading activity, and risk appetite. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to differing interpretations of the available information. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. While both platforms address the same question regarding the Red Sox versus Rangers, these factors contribute to potentially different probabilities being reflected in the prices. These variances are normal and expected in decentralized prediction markets.