TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 4:13 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-18 23:10 UTC: If the Boston Red Sox win, the market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox". If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-18 23:10 UTC: If the Boston Red Sox win, the market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox". If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasts, especially when compared to initial sportsbook lines or public polling data. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for understanding implied probabilities and potential value in this market. It’s useful to consider both when forming your own opinion.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective intelligence of the traders. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe the Red Sox will win, the price of contracts predicting a Red Sox victory will increase. Conversely, increased demand for a Rays win will drive up their contract prices. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and insights.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Boston Red Sox versus Tampa Bay Rays game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on the official game result, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Red Sox or the Rays would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in pitching matchups, weather forecasts, or even team performance in preceding games can all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or manager decisions could also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also contribute to movement in this market as traders adjust their predictions.