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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets - First 5 Innings Winner
polymarket

Who will win the first 5 innings between the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets?

Volume:
$24,877

Boston Red Sox

 - Polymarket

Boston Red Sox - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 7:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Boston Red Sox

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24,763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New York Mets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets, scheduled for July 10 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets, scheduled for July 10 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Red Sox vs. Mets first 5 innings market displays real-time odds and price history as traders buy and sell shares tied to who wins the first five innings of play. The interface shows current market probability, 24-hour volume of $15,003, and historical price movements leading up to game time. This market lets you track how sentiment shifts as game conditions, weather, and lineup announcements develop. You can monitor order flow and see which outcome is commanding trader attention in the hours before first pitch.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on their conviction. This market aggregates the collective forecast of thousands of independent traders, which can sometimes outpace or contradict early sportsbook pricing. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning ahead of the game and whether public perception aligns with market-based probability.

This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, after the first five innings of the game are complete. The outcome is determined by which team is ahead on the scoreboard once the top of the sixth inning begins, verified against credible public sources including official box scores and broadcast records. Early resolution occurs if the game is called or suspended before five innings are finished, in which case the market settles based on the score at that point. Traders should monitor weather and game status updates as the event approaches.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, bullpen availability, weather conditions, and injury reports for both teams. If a star pitcher is ruled out or a critical position player is unavailable, expect sharp repricing. Early-game momentum—such as a quick run or an error in the first inning—often triggers volume spikes and price swings. Breaking news on field conditions, umpire assignments, or last-minute roster moves can also shift trader conviction. Monitor sports news outlets and team social media in the hours before first pitch for developments that could reshape expectations for the first five innings.