TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 10:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether a run will be scored in the first inning of the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Miami Marlins. On Polymarket, the current probability that a run will be scored stands at 40.0%, with resolution provided by https://www.mlb.com/scores. The outcome will be determined by the game scheduled for August 25 at 6:40PM ET.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 25 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Injuries, weather delays, lineup changes, or standout performances leading up to Sep 1, 2026 could all shift this market. Key starters being placed on the IL, pitching rotations, or even recent head-to-head stats may cause traders on Polymarket to adjust their bets. Any last-minute news affecting either team’s chances—such as a star player’s sudden recovery or a critical coaching decision—can create rapid price swings in the final days.