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Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels
polymarket
kalshi
predict

Who will win Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels?

Volume:
$408,373

Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 9:38 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$239,358
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels

View
N/A
N/A
—
$2,439
$20,723
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$111,371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,604
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,079
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$578
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Game goes to extra innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
$295
Settled
No
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This event group covers an MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Angels scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 9:38 PM ET. Markets track the game winner, first-inning scoring, and extra-inning occurrence across multiple prediction platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scope divergence: Kalshi market covers only extra-inning occurrence, while Polymarket and Predict cover game winner and first-inning scoring. Additionally, Kalshi's resolution source and postponement handling are not explicitly documented.Hero tip: Treat these as three independent markets, not a unified event group. Polymarket and Predict are aligned on game winner and first-inning scoring logic. For Kalshi, independently verify the official resolution source (likely MLB.com) and confirm postponement policy before trading. Monitor for any updates to Kalshi's market terms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Two distinct markets: (1) Game winner resolves to Red Sox or Angels; if canceled/tied/no makeup, resolves 50-50. (2) First-inning scoring resolves Yes if any run scored in inning 1, No otherwise. Postponed games remain open. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, credible reporting as fallback.
  • Predict: Game winner market: resolves to Red Sox or Angels; if canceled/tied/no makeup, resolves 50-50. Postponed games remain open. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, credible reporting as fallback. Identical logic to Polymarket.
  • Kalshi: Extra-inning market: resolves Yes if game goes to extra innings, No otherwise. Scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT. No explicit resolution source, postponement policy, or tie/cancellation handling documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for July 4 at 9:38PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If Boston and Los Angeles A go to extra innings in the Boston vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for July 4 at 9:38PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief through continuous price discovery. This market aggregates outcomes from platforms where traders directly stake capital, eliminating the house edge built into traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market prices often lead sportsbook adjustments because they incorporate real-time information from thousands of independent participants. Comparing this market's consensus to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities or confirm alignment between institutional and decentralized pricing.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally creates pricing gaps. Polymarket may have deeper liquidity in certain outcomes, while Kalshi might reflect faster reactions to breaking news or different user bases with distinct information sets. Platform-specific rules, withdrawal policies, and trading mechanics also influence how quickly prices adjust. These differences typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit spreads, but temporary divergence is normal and can present trading opportunities for those monitoring both venues simultaneously.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Trades or roster moves involving star players can shift probabilities significantly. Weather conditions on game day, travel schedules, and rest advantages also influence trader positioning. Breaking news about player health, coaching decisions, or lineup changes typically triggers sharp price moves as informed traders react first. Monitoring sports news feeds and team announcements in the days leading up to the event will help you anticipate market shifts and identify potential trading opportunities before consensus prices adjust.