Kalshi's three markets create a logical impossibility: all three outcomes (Boston Legacy FC win, San Diego Wave FC win, and Tie) are defined to resolve YES, meaning the market group cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket's three markets correctly map each outcome to a distinct resolution (YES for San Diego Wave FC win, YES for draw, YES for Boston Legacy FC win), allowing proper outcome differentiation.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's markets in this group—they are logically broken and unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are properly structured. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi support immediately, as the resolution rules guarantee multiple conflicting YES resolutions regardless of the match outcome.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines all three possible match outcomes (Boston Legacy FC win, San Diego Wave FC win, Tie) as resolving to YES. This creates a logical contradiction where every possible outcome triggers a YES resolution, making the market group unable to differentiate between outcomes. Key quote: 'If Boston Legacy FC wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego Wave FC wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Aligned with proper market logic: Polymarket correctly structures three distinct markets where each outcome maps to a unique resolution—San Diego Wave FC win resolves YES on the San Diego Wave FC market only, a draw resolves YES on the draw market only, and Boston Legacy FC win resolves YES on the Boston Legacy FC market only. This allows traders to express directional views. Key quote: 'If San Diego Wave FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (and equivalent logic for the other two markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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