TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
Boston Legacy FC vs. Chicago Stars FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Boston Legacy FC vs Chicago Stars FC?

Volume:
$266,005

Boston Legacy FC

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 10:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Boston Legacy FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$91,780
N/A
N/A
$55,832
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Boston Legacy FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$120,793
N/A
N/A
$82,251
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,642
N/A
N/A
$29,782
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Boston Legacy FC vs. Chicago Stars FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chicago Stars FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional NWSL soccer match between Boston Legacy FC and Chicago Stars FC scheduled for July 10, 2026. Three related markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the match outcome: whether it ends in a draw, whether Chicago wins, and whether Boston wins, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation outcome mismatch between Polymarket draw market (resolves YES) and all win markets (resolve NO). Additionally, Kalshi's three outcome markets contain a logical impossibility where all three cannot be true simultaneously.Hero tip: Avoid trading until cancellation rules are unified. The Kalshi market structure is fundamentally unresolvable as written because only one outcome can occur in a match, yet all three are written to resolve YES. Polymarket traders should note the draw market has opposite cancellation logic from the win markets, creating arbitrage risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up; win markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. This creates internal inconsistency within the same platform. Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".'; Win markets state 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"'.
  • Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Boston win, Chicago win, Tie) are structured to resolve YES if their condition occurs, but only one outcome can occur in a single match. This creates a logical impossibility. The market structure does not account for mutual exclusivity of outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Friday, July 10, 2026 between Boston Legacy FC and Chicago Stars FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final score of the Boston Legacy FC vs Chicago professional NWSL soccer game originally scheduled for July 10, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each team outcome resolves to Yes if that team wins during regulation and stoppage time; a Tie outcome resolves to Yes if the game ends in a draw. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity for the Boston Legacy vs. Chicago Stars match across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading platforms where traders forecast the outcome. You can monitor real-time odds, cumulative trading volume of $266,005, and 24-hour activity at $262,746 to see how consensus shifts as match day approaches. The cross-platform view reveals whether traders on each venue agree or diverge on the likely winner, giving you a comprehensive snapshot of market sentiment heading into this fixture.

Prediction market odds reflect live trader consensus rather than fixed sportsbook lines, updating continuously as new information emerges. Markets like these often incorporate real-time sentiment from thousands of participants, whereas traditional sportsbooks adjust lines more slowly and build in margins. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities—if prediction traders are pricing Boston Legacy or Chicago Stars differently than bookmakers, that gap may signal where informed money is flowing or where public perception diverges from sharp analysis.

Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different market structures, user bases, and liquidity conditions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket typically attracts a broader retail audience, while Kalshi's regulatory framework and participant mix can shift pricing. Differences in trading fees, available order types, and the timing of large trades also create temporary spreads. Arbitrage traders often exploit these gaps, but persistent divergence can reflect genuine disagreement about match outcomes between the two communities or structural friction that prevents instant price alignment.

Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—typically drives sharp repricing in this market. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions on match day can all influence trader positioning. Major roster updates or coaching changes would likely trigger significant volume spikes. Additionally, if either team's playoff or league standing becomes mathematically secured or eliminated before the match, that context could shift how traders value the outcome, especially if motivation or rest strategies come into play.