TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NWSL game between Boston Legacy FC and Bay FC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Legacy FC" if Boston Legacy FC score more goals than Bay FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Boston Legacy FC and Bay FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bay FC" if Bay FC score more goals than Boston Legacy FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming NWSL game between Boston Legacy FC and Bay FC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Legacy FC" if Boston Legacy FC score more goals than Bay FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Boston Legacy FC and Bay FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bay FC" if Bay FC score more goals than Boston Legacy FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on the outcome. Traders in this market are motivated to price the second half result as accurately as possible, since their profit depends on being right. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated competitive accuracy relative to sportsbooks, particularly when the participant pool is large and diverse.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying and selling pressure directly moves the odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregate belief of all active traders about whether Boston Legacy FC will win the second half. As new bets flow in, the price adjusts in real time. Liquidity providers on the platform help ensure there is sufficient depth to execute trades, and the spread between buy and sell prices tightens as more capital enters the market.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the second half result is finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match record for Boston Legacy FC versus Bay FC. Resolution hinges on whether Boston Legacy FC is confirmed as the winner of the second half period. Once the event concludes and the result is publicly confirmed, this market will settle based on the verified outcome.
Several factors may shift trader sentiment before this market resolves. Team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements can alter perceived second-half performance. First-half momentum and score will likely influence expectations for the second half, as teams often adjust strategy at halftime. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form of both squads may also prompt repricing. As the match approaches, any official updates from either club or league communications could trigger significant movement in trader positioning and odds.