TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.1b

24H VOL:

$117,503,438

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,782,936,628

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,739,551,016

506,235

Markets across

37,554

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,852

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Boston College vs. SMU
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Boston College vs. SMU?

Volume:
$2,257,719

SMU

 - Kalshi

SMU - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SMU

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$521,554
N/A
N/A
$255,619
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$647
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1Q O/U 10.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Boston College

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,363,189
N/A
N/A
$892,455
Settled
No
polymarket

Boston College vs. SMU

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$163,083
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -21.5

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,969
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,907
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,674
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,737
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -23.5

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,727
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,764
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -27.5

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 236

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a pick-six being scored during the Boston College versus SMU college football game. Currently, the consensus probability of a pick-six occurring is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the official results reported on https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3rd, as the outcome will depend on defensive and offensive performance during the contest.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Significant divergence in market types and resolution criteria between platforms. Kalshi focuses on a simple winner-takes-all market, while Polymarket offers a wide range of spread and over/under markets.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket for more granular betting opportunities and understand Kalshi's market is a basic winner-takes-all bet.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Offers a single market resolving to 'Yes' if either Boston College or SMU wins the game. This is a flawed market design as it resolves to 'Yes' regardless of the outcome.
  • Polymarket: Provides a comprehensive suite of markets including spreads, over/unders, and team totals, resolving based on the official game results and defined thresholds.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Boston College and SMU, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston College" if Boston College win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Boston College vs SMU college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If SMU wins, the SMU market resolves to Yes, and the Boston College market resolves to No. Conversely, if Boston College wins, its market resolves to Yes, and SMU's resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it has no official connection with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Boston College vs. SMU game from multiple platforms, currently Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of the probabilities for various outcomes, reflecting the combined volume of $2,257,719 traded across both venues. The current aggregate indicates a strong likelihood of one outcome, though opinions diverge between Polymarket and Kalshi. We track 24-hour volume, which is currently $2,135,652, to gauge market activity and shifts in sentiment. This provides a comprehensive overview of what the crowd believes will happen in the game.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how each is determined. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. This can lead to more efficient price discovery, particularly as more volume is traded. However, sportsbook odds are often more readily available and may reflect public perception more directly, while this market represents a more informed, albeit smaller, group of participants. Both can be valuable tools for analysis.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift probabilities. Significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could also influence prices, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent than concrete events. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for informed trading.