TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 8:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in making field goals during their scheduled match. It focuses on whether each team achieves specific minimum numbers of successful field goal attempts throughout the game, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the official number of made field goals by each team during the Boston College vs Cincinnati college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026, including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold for the number of made field goals required for resolution to 'Yes' for that particular outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different field goal totals in the Boston College vs Cincinnati game. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts in both markets. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers submit bids and asks, and contracts trade when there’s a matching price. The price of a contract represents the probability of that specific field goal total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's outcome. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, indicates the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels, providing insight into market liquidity and potential price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final field goal totals for both the Boston College and Cincinnati teams are verifiable from credible public reporting following the completion of the game. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which field goal total range was accurately predicted by traders, and contracts corresponding to the correct range will pay out based on their price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Boston College or Cincinnati teams, particularly the kickers or offensive players who contribute to field goal opportunities, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, such as strong winds or rain, which could affect kicking accuracy, are also likely to move the market. Finally, any late-breaking analysis from sports analysts or updated betting lines from sportsbooks could impact trader sentiment and influence the price of contracts.