TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 11:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Bosnia & Herzegovina wins by 2 or more goals against USA during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 2, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 2, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if Bosnia & Herzegovina wins by 2 or more goals against USA during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 2, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 2, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders seeking to profit from accurate forecasts. Prediction markets frequently incorporate real-time information and can adjust faster than sportsbooks during breaking news or injury announcements. For this Bosnia & Herzegovina versus USA matchup, comparing the prediction market price to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether one venue perceives a higher or lower probability of a two-goal-plus victory.
On Limitless, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time probability. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders holding shares profit if the outcome occurs, creating direct financial incentives for accurate pricing. The spread between bid and ask reflects liquidity and uncertainty; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and deeper order books, while wider spreads suggest fewer traders or greater disagreement on the likelihood of a Bosnia & Herzegovina two-goal victory.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the Bosnia & Herzegovina versus USA match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official goal margin: if Bosnia & Herzegovina wins by two or more goals, the market resolves affirmatively; any other result (draw, loss, or one-goal victory) resolves negatively. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from authoritative sports reporting.
Key catalysts for this market include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts by either coach. Recent form, head-to-head history, and qualification stakes can shift trader sentiment significantly. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage, and late-breaking betting syndicate activity often trigger sharp price moves. Additionally, early match events—such as an early goal or red card—typically cause sharp repricing as traders update their probability estimates based on live information.