TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Bosnia and Herzegovina will defeat Qatar by a margin exceeding 1.5 goals in their FIFA World Cup match. On Kalshi, the probability of Bosnia and Herzegovina winning by more than 1.5 goals stands at 81.0%. Resolution is determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on June 24, 2026, as reported by FIFA. Watch the match on June 24, 2026, when the final whistle will settle the outcome.
Resolution is based on the final goal differential between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Qatar during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) of their FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 24, 2026. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. Each outcome represents a specific margin threshold: Bosnia and Herzegovina winning by more than 1.5 goals, Bosnia and Herzegovina winning by more than 2.5 goals, Qatar winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Qatar winning by more than 2.5 goals. The market resolves to Yes if the specified condition is met. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks adjust spreads to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants. For Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar, comparing the prediction market spread to major sportsbooks can reveal whether traders expect a tighter or wider margin than oddsmakers have posted, highlighting potential value or consensus shifts.
On Kalshi, the Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar spread is priced as a binary or range contract reflecting the expected point differential between the two teams. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares based on their forecast of the final margin, with prices ranging from 0 to 100 cents per share. The market price at any moment represents the collective probability traders assign to the spread outcome, updated in real time as new orders flow in and existing positions shift.
Key catalysts for the Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar spread include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can also shift trader expectations. Live updates during the match—early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will drive sharp repricing as traders adjust their spread forecasts based on unfolding events and in-game performance.