TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines whether Bosnia and Herzegovina or Qatar wins the second half of their FIFA World Cup match on June 24, 2026 by a margin exceeding 1.5 goals, based on the goal differential during that half only.
The second half spread is determined by the goal differential between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Qatar during the second half only. Bosnia and Herzegovina's outcome resolves to Yes if Bosnia and Herzegovina scores more than 1.5 goals ahead of Qatar during the second half. Qatar's outcome resolves to Yes if Qatar scores more than 1.5 goals ahead of Bosnia and Herzegovina during the second half. Goals scored during the first half do not count toward this market. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money stakes and continuous price discovery rather than static published opinions. Traders on this market incorporate breaking team news, injury reports, and betting-market consensus in real time, sometimes moving odds faster than analysts can publish updated predictions. Comparing the current odds here to expert previews and sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees edge or where conventional wisdom may be lagging market sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing limit and market orders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and the depth of bids and asks around it, meaning tight spreads indicate high confidence and liquidity, while wider gaps suggest uncertainty or lower trading volume. As new information emerges—team lineups, weather, or pre-match analysis—traders adjust their orders, and the price adjusts accordingly.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the Bosnia and Herzegovina versus Qatar second half concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual point spread achieved in the second half only, independent of the first-half result. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to see confirmed results before payouts are processed.
Key catalysts include official team lineups and injury announcements, which can shift perceived strength significantly. Weather conditions at kickoff, recent form and head-to-head records, and any late-breaking tactical changes will influence trader positioning. Live second-half action itself—early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will drive sharp repricing as the match unfolds. Additionally, any updates on player availability or coaching decisions in the hours before kickoff could trigger notable market moves as traders reassess the spread outlook.