TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether selected Bosnia and Herzegovina and Qatar players record either a goal or an assist during the FIFA World Cup match on June 24, 2026. Players who are listed as active but do not enter the game will result in settlement at the last fair market price before kickoff.
Resolution is based on whether each player records at least one goal or one assist during the entire Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar match, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. The market applies to the full game duration. If a player is active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined by the player's actual goals and assists recorded during play.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders who profit from accuracy. This market aggregates decentralized opinion, which can lead to sharper or more reactive pricing than a fixed sportsbook line. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd sees value the bookmakers have missed, making prediction markets a useful reference point for serious bettors and analysts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the crowd's collective belief in the probability of a score or assist occurring. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting trends—traders adjust their bids and offers, moving the price up or down. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to real-world developments leading up to kickoff.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar match concludes and the final result is verified. The outcome is confirmed when credible public sources report whether either team scored or recorded an assist during regulation and any applicable extra time. Resolution depends solely on the official match statistics, ensuring clarity and fairness for all traders. Early settlement is not typical unless the fixture is cancelled or postponed indefinitely.
Key catalysts for this market include team lineups, injury announcements, and recent form heading into the fixture. Defensive injuries or absences of key attacking players can shift odds significantly. Pre-match analysis from credible sports media, betting syndicates, and expert predictions may also trigger repricing as new information reaches traders. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any last-minute tactical changes announced by either coach can influence sentiment. Live betting activity during the match itself will drive final price adjustments as the game unfolds.