TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy
Volume:
$4,624,966
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualifier match scheduled for March 31, 2026. The markets resolve based on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, covering all three possible outcomes: a Bosnia and Herzegovina win, an Italy win, or a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 31, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official FIFA statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the outcome of the Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy match after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Bosnia and Herzegovina wins, Italy wins, or the match ends in a draw.
- Exactly one outcome will occur and resolve to YES; the other two outcomes resolve to NO.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES and both team-win markets resolve NO.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the rescheduled match outcome.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES (treating cancellation as equivalent to no winner), while both Bosnia and Herzegovina win and Italy win markets resolve NO.
- Resolution Timing: Primary resolution uses official FIFA statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as an alternative source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by FIFA or the governing body within 2 hours of match conclusion, or upon consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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