TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910
Volume:
$1,492,329
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga soccer match between Borussia Mönchengladbach and FC St. Pauli 1910 scheduled for March 13, 2026. Three binary markets track the possible outcomes: St. Pauli win, draw, or Mönchengladbach win, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation handling. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if the game is canceled with no makeup, while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, leaving resolution ambiguous in that scenario.Hero Tip:
Confirm cancellation protocols with both platforms before the match date. If canceled with no makeup, Polymarket traders holding draw positions will win while win-position holders lose—a structural inconsistency. Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation language suggests the game must be played; clarify this with support to avoid settlement disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. St. Pauli win and Mönchengladbach win markets resolve NO if canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no makeup. All markets remain open if postponed. Resolution source is official Bundesliga statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Kalshi: Three binary markets covering all possible outcomes (St. Pauli win, Tie, Mönchengladbach win). Each resolves YES if its outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided, creating ambiguity if the game does not occur as scheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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