Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: the market resolves based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 19, 2026, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Borussia Mönchengladbach win market resolves YES if and only if Mönchengladbach wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves NO otherwise.
1. FSV Mainz 05 win market resolves YES if and only if Mainz wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves NO otherwise.
Draw market resolves YES if and only if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves NO if either team wins.
Exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (mutually exclusive outcomes).
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the Mönchengladbach and Mainz win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all three markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the actual outcome of the completed match.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, the Mönchengladbach win and Mainz win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Resolution Timing: Primary resolution source is official Bundesliga statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as the fallback source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official Bundesliga announcement of the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 19, 2026, or upon credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours post-match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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