TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin
kalshi
polymarket

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin

Volume:
$704,236

Borussia Mönchengladbach

 - Polymarket

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 28, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 9:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Borussia Mönchengladbach

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$442,179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

M´gladbach

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$83,970
N/A
N/A
$56,823
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Union Berlin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,596
N/A
N/A
$28,988
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,892
N/A
N/A
$30,005
Settled
No
polymarket

1. FC Union Berlin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three interconnected prediction markets on the Bundesliga match between Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1. FC Union Berlin scheduled for February 28, 2026. The markets collectively allow traders to bet on all three possible outcomes (M'gladbach win, Union Berlin win, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market contains an asymmetric cancellation clause (resolves Yes on full cancellation) that differs from the standard No-resolution behavior on Kalshi and Polymarket's win markets. This creates a settlement arbitrage risk if the match is canceled.Hero tip: Monitor official Bundesliga sources for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket's draw market will pay out Yes while other markets void or resolve No. Consider this tail risk when sizing positions across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Kalshi presents three separate Yes/No markets covering all outcomes (M'gladbach win, Union Berlin win, tie). Resolution criteria state each outcome resolves Yes if it occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause is provided. Key Quote: 'If M´gladbach wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (same structure for all three outcomes).
  • Polymarket: Polymarket offers three separate markets: M'gladbach win (Yes/No), draw (Yes/No), and Union Berlin win (Yes/No). The draw market uniquely includes a cancellation clause: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' The win markets resolve No on cancellation. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market only).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.