TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga soccer match between Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 scheduled for April 4, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the match outcome: Mönchengladbach win, draw, and Heidenheim win, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market YES on full cancellation, while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi omits cancellation logic entirely, creating potential settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled with no rescheduled date, Polymarket's draw market will pay YES while its win markets pay NO. Kalshi's resolution path is undefined. Traders should hedge across platforms or await Kalshi clarification. Monitor Bundesliga official channels for any postponement or cancellation announcements.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Mönchengladbach win, draw, Heidenheim win). Win markets resolve NO on full cancellation; draw market resolves YES on full cancellation. Postponements keep markets open. Primary source: official Bundesliga statistics within 2 hours of conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.Kalshi:
Three markets covering all possible outcomes (Tie, M'gladbach win, Heidenheim win). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Resolution scope limited to 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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