TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Borchetta Bourbon Music City Grand Prix: Race Winner
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win the Borchetta Bourbon Music City Grand Prix?

Volume:
$32,978

Kyle Kirkwood

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 21, 2026

Closed: Jul 20, 6:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyle Kirkwood

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,580
N/A
N/A
$1,574
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kyle Kirkwood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Ericsson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,089
N/A
N/A
$849
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Marcus Ericsson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

David Malukas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,073
N/A
N/A
$760
Settled
Yes
polymarket

David Malukas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Scott McLaughlin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$980
N/A
N/A
$980
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Scott McLaughlin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alex Palou

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$855
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alex Palou

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
$313
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mick Schumacher

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$758
N/A
N/A
$689
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mick Schumacher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyffin Simpson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$733
N/A
N/A
$638
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kyffin Simpson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Felix Rosenqvist

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
$380
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Felix Rosenqvist

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Josef Newgarden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Josef Newgarden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Pato O’Ward

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$219
N/A
N/A
$196
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rinus Veekay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,636
N/A
N/A
$2,590
Settled
No
polymarket

Rinus Veekay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Rasmussen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,559
N/A
N/A
$1,468
Settled
No
polymarket

Christian Rasmussen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Scott Dixon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,258
N/A
N/A
$1,081
Settled
No
polymarket

Scott Dixon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 64

Description

This event group covers the race winner of the Borchetta Bourbon Music City Grand Prix (also known as the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville), an IndyCar Series race scheduled for July 19, 2026. Polymarket offers binary markets on individual driver winners plus an 'Other' category, while Kalshi offers binary markets on whether specific drivers finish in the top 10. The core resolution hinges on official IndyCar race results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure different outcomes: Polymarket resolves on 1st place finish (race winner), while Kalshi resolves on top-10 finish. The scope difference means a driver can satisfy Kalshi criteria without satisfying Polymarket criteria.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets are equivalent. A 3rd-place finisher resolves YES on Kalshi but NO on Polymarket. Verify which outcome you are trading on each platform. For Polymarket, rely on IndyCar.com official results; for Kalshi, request clarification on disqualification handling and cancellation protocol.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves on race winner (1st place only). Uses official IndyCar website and credible sports news consensus. Disqualifications after official results publication do not affect resolution. Cancellation or rescheduling beyond 7 days resolves to 'Other.' Key quote: 'The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.'
  • Kalshi: Resolves on top-10 finish (positions 1-10). No explicit resolution source, cancellation clause, or post-publication disqualification rule provided. Scope is broader than Polymarket. Key quote: 'If [Driver] finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the Borchetta Bourbon Music City Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 19, 2026. If the Borchetta Bourbon Music City Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Box Score / Final Race Results published by IndyCar following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only IndyCar's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Kalshi

Each driver's market resolves to Yes if that driver finishes in the top 10 positions in the Main Event at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville. Resolution is determined by final official race results posted by IndyCar; provisional results are not used for determination.

Frequently asked questions

The Music City Grand Prix winner market aggregates prediction odds across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting traders forecast who will take the checkered flag at this IndyCar event. Both venues track the same race outcome but may price it differently based on their user base, order flow, and market-making dynamics. You can monitor real-time odds, historical price movements, and cross-platform consensus as the event approaches. This setup gives you visibility into how professional traders and casual predictors are positioning themselves ahead of race day.

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed odds set by a sportsbook. Prices reflect live supply and demand from thousands of traders, making them highly responsive to new information and sentiment shifts. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds to balance their book and lock in margin. Prediction market prices often converge toward true probability faster than traditional sportsbooks because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. This market's cross-platform view lets you spot divergences and gauge where smart money is positioning itself.

Driver injuries, mechanical failures during practice sessions, and qualifying results can all shift odds significantly. Weather forecasts closer to race day often trigger repricing, as rain or extreme heat affects car setup and strategy. Major sponsor announcements or team changes may also influence trader sentiment. Real-time pit-stop performance, fuel strategy leaks, and live race commentary will drive sharp price moves during the event itself. Keep an eye on pre-race press conferences and team radio chatter for clues that could reshape the market before the checkered flag drops.