TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 2:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the competitive performance of two professional League of Legends teams on a specific map within a scheduled match. The outcome depends entirely on which team secures victory on the designated map during their head-to-head confrontation. It reflects the strategic battles and skill levels displayed in a high-stakes esports environment.
The event determines whether either BOMBA Team or Forsaken wins map 3 of their Rift Legends 2026 match scheduled for September 9, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT. If BOMBA Team secures the map victory, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Forsaken wins instead, its market resolves to Yes. If the match or specific map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins—whether at the match or map level—the market resolves to the fair market price. If play starts and a forfeiture occurs later, the result follows the official declaration by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction markets like this one can offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of people believe BOMBA Team is likely to win, the price of the 'yes' shares will increase, potentially offering better odds than those found at sportsbooks. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for shares. The current price reflects the probability that BOMBA Team will win Map 3, as assessed by all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders want to buy shares (believing BOMBA Team will win), the price goes up, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time estimation of the event's outcome, driven by informed speculation.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of Map 3 in the BOMBA Team versus Forsaken CS2 match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 if BOMBA Team wins Map 3, and to 0 if Forsaken wins. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by the tournament organizers, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or cover their losses based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either BOMBA Team or Forsaken could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map bans or tournament conditions could also have an impact. Furthermore, in-game events during other matches in the tournament, or even general shifts in public perception of each team’s skill, could all contribute to movement in the market price leading up to Sep 9, 2026.