TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Bolton
all
3 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
Limitless
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 12, 2026
Closed: Sep 12, 9:35 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This group forecasts the outcome of a single EFL Championship soccer match between Bolton Wanderers and Cardiff City on September 12, 2026. Markets ask whether Bolton will win, Cardiff will win, or the game will end in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms define resolution based on the same timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time) and handle postponements and cancellations consistently.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (EFL.com).Core resolution logic:
- Markets resolve based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- If the match is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, win/loss markets resolve to 'No', and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used, followed by Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting.
- Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between Bolton Wanderers FC and Cardiff City FC.
Kalshi
The markets for the Bolton vs Cardiff EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, resolve based on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Bolton win, Cardiff win, and a tie. If the match concludes with a win for either Bolton or Cardiff within regular time, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 12, 2026, 11:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading volume, and liquidity, which influences price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market making on each platform can lead to discrepancies. For example, Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders, while Kalshi could have a broader range of participants. These differences in market dynamics can result in varying probabilities for the same event. The current volume is $258,425.
