TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the margin of victory in a professional soccer match between Bolton and West Ham. It evaluates different thresholds for how many goals the winning team must score beyond their opponent to determine the outcome. The event is based solely on the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
If Bolton wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Bolton vs West Ham professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Bolton wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Bolton vs West Ham professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If West Ham wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Bolton vs West Ham professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If West Ham wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Bolton vs West Ham professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market evolves as traders buy and sell contracts, expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember they represent different methodologies and information sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Bolton vs West Ham match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to aggregate the insights of all participants into a single, real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Bolton vs West Ham match, specifically the goal difference. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 9, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Bolton or West Ham would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift trader sentiment. News regarding tactical approaches or potential lineup changes announced by either manager could also move the market. Finally, any significant public discussion or analysis predicting a particular outcome could influence trading activity and, consequently, the price.