This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between Bologna FC 1909 and SS Lazio scheduled for March 22, 2026. Markets span multiple outcome types: spread bets (goal-margin thresholds), over/under totals (combined goals), and both-teams-to-score. All markets resolve on the official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on the same match, same time window (90 min + stoppage), same primary source (Lega Serie A), and identical postponement/cancellation/incompletion protocols.
Primary resolution logic:
Lega Serie A official statistics published at legaseriea.it; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus
Core resolution logic:
All markets resolve on the final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
Spread markets (e.g., Bologna -1.5, Lazio -2.5) resolve based on goal margin: Bologna -1.5 YES if Bologna wins by 2+; Lazio -1.5 YES if Lazio wins by 2+; Bologna -2.5 YES if Bologna wins by 3+; Lazio -2.5 YES if Lazio wins by 3+
Over/Under markets resolve on combined goals: O/U 1.5 Over if 2+; O/U 2.5 Over if 3+; O/U 3.5 Over if 4+; O/U 4.5 Over if 5+
Both Teams to Score YES if each team scores at least 1 goal; NO if either team scores 0
If game is postponed, markets remain open until completion
If game is canceled entirely with no makeup, all markets resolve 50-50
If game starts but does not complete, resolution uses the official final score at time of stoppage
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a rescheduled date
Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split pool equally)
Incomplete Match: Resolution uses the official final score published by Lega Serie A at the time the match was stopped
Source Delay: If Lega Serie A does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used instead
Time Window: Only goals scored in the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official final score is published by Lega Serie A (target within 2 hours post-match); markets remain open if postponed until the rescheduled match is completed
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.