TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UEFA Europa League match between Bologna FC 1909 and SK Brann scheduled for February 26, 2026. Markets span total goals (over/under at multiple thresholds), spread betting (win margins), and both teams to score, all resolving on the official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses strict greater-than (>) comparison while Polymarket uses greater-than-or-equal (>=) comparison for identical goal thresholds. Despite different logical operators, both platforms resolve to the same practical outcome at integer goal totals.Hero Tip:
The divergence is mathematically immaterial because both platforms resolve identically at whole-number goal totals (2, 3, 4, 5). No arbitrage opportunity exists. Always source the final score from uefa.com and confirm your platform's exact threshold before claiming settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Uses strict greater-than (>) logic for all over/under markets. O/U 1.5 resolves YES if total goals > 1.5 (meaning 2+). O/U 3.5 resolves YES if total goals > 3.5 (meaning 4+). Quote: 'If Brann and Bologna collectively score more than X.5 total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Uses greater-than-or-equal (>=) logic for all over/under markets. O/U 1.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 2. O/U 3.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 4. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if Bologna FC 1909 and SK Brann combine to score 2 or more goals' (for 1.5 line); 'combine to score 4 or more goals' (for 3.5 line).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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