TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.6b

24H VOL:

$185,329,595

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,799,378,420

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,813,258,821

507,072

Markets across

37,953

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,853

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
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All
Sports
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano
polymarket
opinion
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano?

Total volume:
$3,877,438
Volume 24h:
$3,830,122
15,234%
Liquidity:
$16,490
98%
Open interest:
$1,012,382
4,628%

Inter

all

4 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Closed: Oct 17, 1:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Inter

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,614,002
N/A
N/A
$631,164
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Internazionale Milano

100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$976,992
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

INT

100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$15,993
$174,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

Inter wins

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bologna

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$419,393
N/A
N/A
$190,046
Settled
No
polymarket

Bologna FC 1909

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$122,802
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

BOL

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$281
$28,518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

Bologna wins

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$409,255
N/A
N/A
$191,172
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano)

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93,393
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$216
$38,287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

Draw

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks whether FC Internazionale Milano will win their Serie A soccer match against Bologna FC 1909 on October 17, 2026, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of Inter winning is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Polymarket, Opinion, Predict, and Kalshi, with resolution based on data from https://www.legaseriea.it/. Keep an eye on the official kickoff time for the match on October 17, 2026, as confirmation of the event proceeding will initiate the resolution process.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves to 'No' for a canceled game, while Kalshi resolves each outcome (Bologna, Inter, Draw) to 'Yes'.Hero tip: Polymarket markets are more sensitive to game cancellations. Consider this when evaluating relative probabilities.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market will resolve to 'No'. This applies to the Bologna win, Inter win, and Draw markets.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'Yes' for all outcomes (Bologna wins, Inter wins, and Draw).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Bologna FC 1909 and FC Internazionale Milano.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either team resolves the respective market to Yes; a tie resolves the Tie market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Bologna FC 1909 and FC Internazionale Milano.

Opinion

This market refers to the Serie A match between Bologna (BOL) and Inter (INT), scheduled for 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC. - BOL: If Bologna wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - INT: If Inter wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both BOL and INT options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets are driven by genuine belief and information aggregation. This market’s odds reflect what traders believe will happen, creating a more accurate forecast, especially as the event approaches. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to take either side of a bet, unlike sportsbooks which act as intermediaries. This can lead to more efficient price discovery and potentially better odds for informed participants.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which influences price formation. Differences in trading volume—currently $3,877,438 overall—and the types of traders participating can also contribute to discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific question framing on each platform, even if conceptually similar, can impact how traders interpret and value the potential outcomes. These factors combine to create potentially different probabilities for the same event across the two platforms.