TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.6b
24H VOL:
$185,329,595
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,799,378,420
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,813,258,821
507,072
Markets across
37,953
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,853
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether FC Internazionale Milano will win their Serie A soccer match against Bologna FC 1909 on October 17, 2026, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of Inter winning is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Polymarket, Opinion, Predict, and Kalshi, with resolution based on data from https://www.legaseriea.it/. Keep an eye on the official kickoff time for the match on October 17, 2026, as confirmation of the event proceeding will initiate the resolution process.
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Bologna FC 1909 and FC Internazionale Milano.
Markets resolve based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either team resolves the respective market to Yes; a tie resolves the Tie market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price.
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Bologna FC 1909 and FC Internazionale Milano.
This market refers to the Serie A match between Bologna (BOL) and Inter (INT), scheduled for 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC. - BOL: If Bologna wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - INT: If Inter wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both BOL and INT options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which influences price formation. Differences in trading volume—currently $3,877,438 overall—and the types of traders participating can also contribute to discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific question framing on each platform, even if conceptually similar, can impact how traders interpret and value the potential outcomes. These factors combine to create potentially different probabilities for the same event across the two platforms.