TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.1b

24H VOL:

$217,487,446

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,300,303,450

498,643

Markets across

13,761

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,763

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC - Exact Score

Volume:
$860,797
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers the exact final score outcome of a Europa League match between Bologna FC 1909 and Aston Villa FC scheduled for April 9, 2026. The resolution is based on the official result after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Polymarket offers granular exact-score markets across 18 specific outcomes plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all, while Kalshi provides only three binary outcome markets (Bologna Win, Aston Villa Win, Tie). The platforms differ fundamentally in market structure and granularity, though both resolve on the same underlying event (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties).

Hero Tip:

If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on one specific exact score from 18 listed outcomes or 'Any Other Score.' If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on only the match result (win/loss/tie) regardless of goal margin. Your Polymarket position may resolve YES while a corresponding Kalshi position resolves NO if the score does not match your exact prediction, even though both platforms agree on the final scoreline.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the market as 18 binary exact-score questions (e.g., '3-0', '1-1', '0-2') plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all. Resolution is based on 'the final score of the Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC match...considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time.' Exactly one market resolves YES based on the precise final scoreline.
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi structures the market as three binary outcome questions (Bologna Win, Aston Villa Win, Tie), each resolving YES or NO based solely on the match result after '90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).' No exact score is specified; only the winner or tie status matters.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.