TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Bolivia and Paraguay. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
In the upcoming match between Bolivia and Paraguay, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bolivia" if Bolivia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Paraguay" if Paraguay are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Bolivia and Paraguay, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bolivia" if Bolivia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Paraguay" if Paraguay are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while prediction markets are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome of the Bolivia vs. Paraguay match and allows for informed decision-making.
Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Predict due to variations in user participation, trading activity, and perceived information advantages. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different traders with varying risk appetites and analytical approaches, leading to differing valuations. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. The differing user bases and trading dynamics on Polymarket and Predict contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both are tracking the same event – the first team to score in the Bolivia vs. Paraguay match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Unexpected news or events related to either team's performance in recent matches could also impact trader sentiment and cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations in this market.