TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the exact final score of a FIFA International Friendly match between Bolivia and Paraguay. Resolution depends on the score at the end of regulation time (90 minutes + stoppage time), excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A tie or a score not explicitly listed resolves to 'Any Other Score'.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Bolivia and Paraguay, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Bolivia vs. Paraguay match originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Bolivia and Paraguay, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Bolivia vs. Paraguay match originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict on the Bolivia vs. Paraguay score market can arise due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and predictive insights, influencing how they price outcomes. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, differing market creation parameters or liquidity provisions between Polymarket and Predict can contribute to these price divergences. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage among informed traders.
Several factors could significantly impact the predictions in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Bolivia or Paraguay national teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions at the match venue could also influence the expected scoreline. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-match analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased trading activity and price movement. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team tactics or formations could prompt traders to reassess their probabilities.