TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 6:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts whether the total points scored in the Boise State versus Oregon college football game will exceed 58.5 points. Currently, the probability of Over 58.5 points scored is at 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the game, as defined by the official game results – specifically, if the teams collectively score more than 67.5 points. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve following the conclusion of the Boise St. vs Oregon game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, with final resolution expected by September 6, 2026.
The event evaluates whether the combined score of Boise State and Oregon in their college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026, exceeds specified point thresholds ranging from 31.5 to 73.5 points. For each threshold, if the total points scored by both teams surpass that threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official score. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they chose.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders on Kalshi may price in factors beyond simple win probabilities, such as betting trends or public sentiment shifts. This can lead to variations between the two types of odds, especially as new information emerges before Sep 6, 2026. Understanding these differences helps identify potential value or market inefficiencies.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts, which reflects their collective expectation of the total points scored. The current odds displayed represent the aggregated wisdom of these participants, factoring in available data, team performance metrics, and any recent news. With a volume of $2,073,658 and 24-hour volume of $1,973,615, the market shows liquidity levels that can influence price stability. As the event approaches, trader activity will continue to shape the odds on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the game will determine whether the over or under contract is satisfied, closing the market based on the actual result.
Several key signals could impact this market as Sep 6, 2026 approaches. Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions on game day may shift expectations for total scoring. Additionally, strong or weak performances in earlier matchups, as well as any notable changes in team momentum, can influence trader sentiment. Media narratives and expert analysis leading up to the game often affect market movement, especially when new information emerges that changes the perceived offensive or defensive capabilities of either team.