TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 4:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns each team scores through receptions in an upcoming college football matchup. It focuses specifically on offensive performance via the passing game, ignoring other scoring methods. The outcomes depend entirely on the game's final statistics, with specific thresholds defined for each team.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team during the Boise State vs Oregon college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026, including any overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is defined as a touchdown scored by a player who catches the ball directly from a forward pass. Touchdowns scored by players recovering fumble or interceptions do not count, unless the player recovering the fumble is the original receiver who fumbled the ball. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from all calculations. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast as new information emerges. Bookmakers may also incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which isn’t present in the way Kalshi operates. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, and as public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more volatile the prices may become as new information is factored in. Traders aim to profit by buying contracts they believe are undervalued and selling them when they become overvalued, effectively betting on their predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which teams actually score touchdowns during the Boise St vs Oregon game. Official game statistics and reports will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount depends on the price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Boise St or Oregon would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence traders’ decisions and shift the probabilities reflected in this market.