TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 3:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game, or whether no touchdown will be scored at all. It captures the initial scoring momentum, reflecting strategic starts and early game dynamics between the competing teams. The outcome depends purely on the first touchdown scored, regardless of how it is achieved.
The event determines whether Oregon, Boise State, or neither team scores the first touchdown in their college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. All touchdowns—including those from offense, defense, or special teams—count toward the outcome, even if scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within that window, the market resolves to a fair price. If no team scores a touchdown at any point in the game, including overtime, the 'No team scores a TD' market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through their buying and selling activity, which determines the current implied probability for each outcome. The platform’s pricing mechanism adjusts continuously based on market orders and liquidity, allowing participants to reflect their beliefs about which team is most likely to score the first touchdown.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to cross the goal line and record an official touchdown during the game will determine the result, and the market will close immediately after the play is confirmed.
Injuries to key offensive players, weather conditions affecting game strategy, and coaching decisions could all shift trader sentiment in this market. Additionally, any significant changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as dominant preseason practices or strategic realignments, may cause fluctuations in the odds as participants reassess their expectations.