TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This Conference League soccer match between Bohemians D. and St Josephs is scheduled for July 9, 2026. Bettors predict the margin of victory, with outcomes based on whether one team wins by more than specified goal differentials during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Resolution is determined by the final goal differential in the Bohemians D. vs St Josephs Conference League match on July 9, 2026, measured through 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Outcomes resolve Yes based on the winning margin: Bohemians D. winning by more than 2.5 goals, Bohemians D. winning by more than 1.5 goals, St Josephs winning by more than 1.5 goals, or St Josephs winning by more than 2.5 goals. The official final score as recorded by the competition determines the margin and governs all resolutions.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or if one venue attracts more informed traders. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees edge or disagreement.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders directly set bids and asks on contracts tied to the spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the consensus of all active traders at that moment, with each contract representing a claim on a specific range or direction of the point differential. As new trades execute, the price updates instantly, allowing you to enter or exit positions at the prevailing market rate.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the match concludes and the final point differential is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources reporting the official result. Until that time, prices will fluctuate based on team news, betting patterns, and any other factors traders believe influence the likely spread. After resolution, contracts will settle to their final value based on the verified margin of victory.
Key catalysts for this market include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and betting line movement at major sportsbooks. Public statements from coaches or players, weather conditions on match day, and late-breaking news about player availability can all shift trader expectations around the spread. Additionally, as the match approaches, reduced uncertainty typically narrows the range of plausible outcomes, which may compress odds. Monitor team social media and sports news outlets for developments that could reshape confidence in the predicted differential.