TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional Conference League soccer match between Bohemians D. and St Josephs scheduled for July 9, 2026. The outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final result of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration of extra time or penalties. Each possible outcome—a win for Bohemians D., a win for St Josephs, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show sharper or more volatile pricing than conventional sports betting sites, particularly as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree on the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks, and the current market price reflects the most recent matched trade. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move continuously as new information arrives and traders adjust their positions. The spread between buy and sell orders indicates liquidity; tighter spreads suggest strong consensus, while wider spreads may signal uncertainty. Your entry and exit costs depend on the depth of orders available at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the actual match conclusion as documented by reliable sports sources. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on team news, injury updates, and trader sentiment. Once the event concludes and the result is official, the market will settle and positions will be paid out accordingly.
Key catalysts include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and any tactical shifts announced by either side. Weather conditions on match day, betting syndicate activity, and social media sentiment can also shift trader positioning. Major news—such as a player suspension or unexpected lineup change—typically triggers sharp price moves. Monitor sports news outlets and official team communications for developments that might alter the perceived likelihood of each outcome.