TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 2:50 PM EST
Kalshi
The event features a competitive League of Legends match between two teams in the Hitpoint Masters 2026 tournament. Scheduled for August 19, 2026, at 12:30 PM EDT, it will test the teams' strategies and skills in a high-stakes gaming environment. The outcome of the match will be determined by the performance of the teams over the course of play.
If over 2.5 maps are played in the Hitpoint Masters 2026: Bohemian Guardians vs. EXILE esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to community-driven pricing and unique betting dynamics. While sportsbooks set their odds based on analytics and risk management, this market lets traders collectively price the probability of each possible map total. This can lead to tighter spreads or divergent views, especially as new information emerges from team performance or patch changes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding, reflecting their expectations for the match outcome. The current implied probability shows the market’s view of each possible map total, adjusted for recent trading volume and any major shifts in sentiment. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows rapid updates based on emerging insights or changes in team form.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final map count from the official match result will determine which contracts are settled, based on transparent and publicly available data from the esports tournament organizers.
Key signals such as team announcements, player injuries, patch releases, or strong performance in prior matches could shift this market. Analysts’ updates and pre-match betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. Any sudden change in the competitive landscape or strategy could cause rapid adjustments in implied probabilities as the event draws closer.