TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The same two teams face off in an early phase of their match, with the first map determining the initial momentum. The result depends entirely on which team claims the first map victory.
This event resolves based on the result of map 1 in the Hitpoint Masters 2026 match between Bohemian Guardians and EXILE esports, scheduled for August 19, 2026, at 12:30 PM EDT. If Bohemian Guardians wins map 1, that market resolves to Yes; if EXILE esports wins map 1, their market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, all markets resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are driven entirely by trader activity rather than set by bookmakers. While sportsbooks may incorporate their own margins and expert analysis, the prediction market price is a direct aggregation of user bets, potentially offering sharper or more volatile estimates. Traders should consider both sources for a broader view of expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through their bids and offers, creating a dynamic market that adjusts with each new bet. The current top outcome’s implied probability reflects the collective wisdom of participants, with volume of $3,221 indicating liquidity. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows for rapid shifts in odds as information or sentiment changes leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the officially recognized winner of Map 1, as reported by authoritative sports news outlets and tournament organizers. Traders can expect a swift resolution once the match concludes and results are widely confirmed.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-match analyses, player injury updates, and practice session performances. Any news affecting team morale, strategy changes, or even weather conditions (if relevant) may influence trader sentiment. As the event draws nearer, betting trends and volume spikes following major announcements or media coverage are also likely to impact odds on Kalshi.