TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 1:50 PM EST
Kalshi
The event features a competitive match between two teams in a highly anticipated gaming tournament. Scheduled for a specific date and time, it is expected to draw significant attention from fans and enthusiasts of the sport. The outcome will be determined by the performance of the teams during the contest.
If over 2.5 maps are played in the Hitpoint Masters 2026: Bohemian Guardians vs. eSuba League of Legends match originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion among bettors. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly as new information becomes available, potentially diverging from or converging with sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different map totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event’s outcome. The current market price indicates the implied probability of each map total being the final result of the match, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of maps played in the Bohemian Guardians versus eSuba CS2 match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official game results as reported by the tournament organizers. The market will settle to 100, representing the winning map total, once a definitive result is available. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct map total will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Bohemian Guardians or eSuba could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event could also impact perceived team strength. Furthermore, in-game events during the match itself, such as early map wins or dominant performances by individual players, could cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding situation. Major upsets or surprising tactical decisions are likely to move the market significantly.