TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 12:55 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional League of Legends teams, Bohemian Guardians and eSuba, will compete in a match on September 5, 2026. This market focuses specifically on the outcome of the second map of that match, determining which team secures the victory on that particular segment.
This market resolves based on the result of map 2 in the Hitpoint Masters 2026 match between Bohemian Guardians and eSuba, scheduled for September 5, 2026, at 8:00 AM EDT. If Bohemian Guardians wins map 2, the market resolves to Yes for the Bohemian Guardians outcome; if eSuba wins map 2, it resolves to Yes for the eSuba outcome. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours of the scheduled start time, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a large number of traders believe an outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, they will bid up the price of that outcome on Kalshi. This can lead to discrepancies, potentially offering value to informed bettors who identify mispricings compared to traditional sportsbooks. However, it’s important to remember both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs about the likelihood of Bohemian Guardians or eSuba winning Map 2. This creates a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the Bohemian Guardians versus eSuba CS2 match. The team declared the winner by the official game results will determine the winning contract. Traders who held contracts representing the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. The market will then close, and all transactions will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Bohemian Guardians or eSuba could impact trader sentiment. In-game performance during other matches leading up to this event could also provide clues about team strengths and weaknesses. Unexpected announcements about map bans or vetoes could also shift the probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning Map 2 has the potential to move this market.