TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 1:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional League of Legends match between two teams, Bohemian Guardians and eSuba, scheduled for September 5, 2026. The result depends entirely on which team secures a victory in the contest. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will adjust the resolution based on fairness guidelines.
The market resolves based on the result of the Hitpoint Masters 2026 League of Legends match between Bohemian Guardians and eSuba, scheduled for September 5, 2026, at 8:00 AM EDT. If the match is postponed and does not commence within 48 hours of its original start time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the market will resolve according to the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate their own margins and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately assess the probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and statistics, the prediction market can adjust rapidly to new information or shifts in sentiment, potentially providing a more nuanced view of the likely result. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the match. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a growing belief in their chances of winning. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders respond to news, team performance, and other relevant factors, constantly updating the implied probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bohemian Guardians versus eSuba CS2 match, as reported by the governing body of the competition. The winning team, as determined by the official match results, will be the outcome used for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or roster changes for either Bohemian Guardians or eSuba would likely cause movement. Major upsets in recent matches for either team, or significant strategic shifts announced by their coaches, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or format could also be catalysts. Finally, any public statements from analysts or prominent figures in the CS2 community offering strong opinions on the likely outcome could also shift the market.