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BMW International Open Winner
kalshi

Who will win the BMW International Open?

Volume:
$2,432,691

Michael Hollick

 - Kalshi

Michael Hollick - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 9:49 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michael Hollick

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$147,476
N/A
N/A
$100,025
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brad Dalke

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$303,357
N/A
N/A
$232,799
Settled
No
kalshi

Hennie Du Plessis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$264,461
N/A
N/A
$112,060
Settled
No
kalshi

Joaquin Niemann

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$227,414
N/A
N/A
$94,424
Settled
No
kalshi

Carlos Ortiz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$223,510
N/A
N/A
$109,554
Settled
No
kalshi

Bernd Wiesberger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$154,007
N/A
N/A
$101,888
Settled
No
kalshi

Jayden Trey Schaper

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$150,889
N/A
N/A
$58,702
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Reed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$75,879
N/A
N/A
$58,956
Settled
No
kalshi

Marco Penge

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$67,095
N/A
N/A
$55,336
Settled
No
kalshi

Abraham Ancer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60,308
N/A
N/A
$57,747
Settled
No
kalshi

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59,420
N/A
N/A
$40,384
Settled
No
kalshi

Matteo Manassero

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,375
N/A
N/A
$44,263
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Gumberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,281
N/A
N/A
$38,281
Settled
No
kalshi

Matti Schmid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,397
N/A
N/A
$33,682
Settled
No
kalshi

Jack Senior

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,245
N/A
N/A
$22,813
Settled
No
kalshi

Oihan Guillamoundeguy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,905
N/A
N/A
$23,012
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Hillier

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,806
N/A
N/A
$20,585
Settled
No
kalshi

JC Ritchie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,586
N/A
N/A
$19,193
Settled
No
kalshi

Davis Bryant

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,261
N/A
N/A
$21,816
Settled
No
kalshi

Shaun Norris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,865
N/A
N/A
$23,843
Settled
No
kalshi

Casey Jarvis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,809
N/A
N/A
$17,817
Settled
No
kalshi

Oliver Lindell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,115
N/A
N/A
$19,648
Settled
No
kalshi

David Ravetto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,908
N/A
N/A
$18,908
Settled
No
kalshi

Victor Perez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,555
N/A
N/A
$18,435
Settled
No
kalshi

Maximilian Steinlechner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,513
N/A
N/A
$18,513
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 162

Intro

This market tracks whether Michael Hollick will win the 2026 BMW International Open, a professional golf tournament decided by standard scoring rules where the lowest total score determines the champion. On Kalshi, the probability of Hollick winning stands at 99.9%. Resolution will be based on official tournament results from the BMW International Open. Watch for the tournament conclusion on July 5, 2026, when the final leaderboard is posted and the winner is officially crowned.

Kalshi

Each golfer's tournament winner contract resolves to Yes if that specific player wins the 2026 BMW International Open. If any golfer forfeits, withdraws, or fails to participate prior to teeing off, all tournament winner contracts for that golfer resolve to No. Tournament winner and end of round leader markets for non-participating golfers resolve to No, while finishing position, make the cut, head-to-head, and 3-ball markets resolve to Fair Market Value.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for the BMW International Open winner market. You can monitor how trader sentiment shifts as the tournament approaches and unfolds, with live updates on the leading contenders and their implied probabilities. The interface displays current odds for each eligible golfer, 24-hour volume activity, and a price history chart so you can identify trends and compare how different outcomes have been valued over time.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus on the true probability of an outcome. Comparing the two can reveal valuable insights: if this market prices a golfer significantly higher or lower than major sportsbooks, it may signal where informed traders see mispricing or where public betting has skewed traditional odds.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each potential winner. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief in that outcome's probability, ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents. As new information emerges—player form, course conditions, injury news—traders adjust their positions, and prices move to reflect updated expectations. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily you can enter or exit a position at any given time.

This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the BMW International Open concludes and the winner is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official tournament result. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on player performance, betting patterns, and any developments that affect the field's composition or competitive standing.

Several catalysts can shift prices in this market: player injuries or withdrawals, recent tournament form and momentum, course-condition updates, weather forecasts closer to the event, and betting action from sharp traders. Major PGA Tour results in the weeks leading up to the BMW International Open often trigger repricing as golfers demonstrate current form. Odds may also tighten or widen based on field announcements, sponsor news, or shifts in public perception. Real-time monitoring of these signals helps traders anticipate price moves before the broader market reacts.