TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 6:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether specific golfers will place among the top ten scores after the first two rounds of a professional golf tournament. Participants can speculate on individual players' performance before the midpoint of the competition, with outcomes determined by official tournament results.
Each market evaluates a specific golfer's performance in the 2026 BMW Championship, resolving to "Yes" if the player finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first two rounds. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate, the market resolves to "Fair Market Price" if the action occurs before teeing off, and to "No" if after teeing off. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the PGA or the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. These rules apply uniformly across all markets in this event.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through a continuous order book, with prices adjusting based on buying and selling activity. The current implied chance for the top finishers reflects aggregated trader sentiment and can shift rapidly with each new round’s progress or major performance updates. Volume of $38,187 supports these price movements.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final results will be based on official tournament data detailing the players who finish in the top ten after round two concludes. No further interpretation or external criteria are needed beyond the publicly recorded standings.
Several factors could shift probabilities before Aug 21, 2026. Key signals include player injuries, weather forecasts affecting course play, and recent performance trends in practice rounds. A strong showing in early tournament rounds might boost a golfer’s chances, while penalties or disqualifications could remove contenders. As the tournament progresses, real-time updates from Kalshi will reflect these changes, with the volume of $38,079 likely rising around major announcements or round completions.