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BMW Championship End of Round 1 Leader
kalshi

BMW Championship End of Round 1 Leader

Volume:
$11,536,672

Gary Woodland

 - Kalshi

Gary Woodland - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 10:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gary Woodland

View
20%
18%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
100¢
N/A
$1,542,980
N/A
N/A
$710,209
Settled
No
kalshi

J.J. Spaun

View
20%
18%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
100¢
N/A
$877,999
N/A
N/A
$360,574
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Gotterup

View
20%
17%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
100¢
N/A
$749,918
N/A
N/A
$427,654
Settled
No
kalshi

Rory McIlroy

View
20%
16%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
100¢
N/A
$435,875
N/A
N/A
$245,858
Settled
No
kalshi

Wyndham Clark

View
20%
17%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
100¢
N/A
$397,955
N/A
N/A
$237,132
Settled
No
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,400,848
N/A
N/A
$1,295,192
Settled
No
kalshi

Matt Fitzpatrick

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$420,870
N/A
N/A
$338,401
Settled
No
kalshi

Sungjae Im

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$338,489
N/A
N/A
$323,778
Settled
No
kalshi

Ludvig Aberg

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$284,554
N/A
N/A
$263,888
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Cantlay

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$272,075
N/A
N/A
$199,903
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Burns

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$247,891
N/A
N/A
$241,652
Settled
No
kalshi

Akshay Bhatia

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$231,956
N/A
N/A
$213,129
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Rai

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$212,339
N/A
N/A
$195,769
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryo Hisatsune

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$211,587
N/A
N/A
$153,119
Settled
No
kalshi

Xander Schauffele

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$204,179
N/A
N/A
$168,632
Settled
No
kalshi

Sepp Straka

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$193,011
N/A
N/A
$178,011
Settled
No
kalshi

Sahith Theegala

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$192,113
N/A
N/A
$173,607
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Knapp

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$191,251
N/A
N/A
$177,721
Settled
No
kalshi

Viktor Hovland

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$187,981
N/A
N/A
$182,622
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Thomas

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$185,973
N/A
N/A
$177,520
Settled
No
kalshi

Rickie Fowler

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$176,973
N/A
N/A
$170,734
Settled
No
kalshi

Collin Morikawa

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$167,892
N/A
N/A
$154,327
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Young

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$152,625
N/A
N/A
$146,153
Settled
No
kalshi

Matthew McCarty

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$151,039
N/A
N/A
$140,452
Settled
No
kalshi

Eric Cole

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$147,084
N/A
N/A
$144,333
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market tracks whether Rory McIlroy will lead at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 BMW Championship on Kalshi, with the resolution based on official tournament results. Currently, Rory McIlroy leads with a probability of 21.0%, while J.J. Spaun follows at 20.0%. The outcome will be determined by the leader after the first round concludes on September 6, 2026, marking the end of the betting period for this event.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to a specific golfer, resolving to 'Yes' if that golfer is the sole leader at the end of Round 1 of the 2026 BMW Championship. If multiple participants share the lead, 'Yes' positions pay $1 divided by the number of tied leaders (rounded down to the nearest cent), while 'No' positions pay the complement of that amount (1 minus the 'Yes' payout). The markets are independent, with each golfer’s outcome determined solely by their own standing relative to others after Round 1. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the PGA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the BMW Championship Round 1 leader market tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume of $9,341,527. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around who will lead after the first round, with data updating dynamically to reflect market sentiment and trading activity.

This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The leader after the first round will be the official result, determined by scores published by tournament organizers and widely covered media sources.

Several key signals could shift probabilities in this market before Sep 6, 2026. Performance metrics from recent practice rounds, player injuries or changes in form, and weather conditions affecting course play all influence trader sentiment. Media reports and expert commentary may also sway expectations. As the tournament progresses, early leaderboard positions and momentum shifts can dramatically alter market dynamics. Any last-minute changes in participant status or course conditions will likely trigger rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.